Is solar power a viable option in Norway?
Norwegian hydropower is currently so cheap that power companies do not consider it attractive to build solar power plants in Norway. In recent years, however, companies have started selling or leasing solar systems to private customers and businesses in Norway. Despite the low energy prices, solar power is growing rapidly in Norway.
Is solar PV a good option for the future Norwegian power market?
Solar PV has an average market value as low as 20 ± 3 €/MWh. Despite low LCOE estimates, solar PV does not look like an attractive option for the future Norwegian power market, given our model assumptions.
Will fossil fuel costs affect electricity prices in Norway in ?
Electricity prices remain strongly affected by fossil fuel costs to . The power price in Norway is modelled to be 39 ± 4 €/MWh. Market value of Norwegian hydropower is 34% higher than the average power price. Seasonal patterns for solar PV give <3% probability of revenues higher than the LCOE.
How much will Norwegian hydropower cost in ?
Monte Carlo simulations suggest an average Norwegian power price of 39 ± 4 €/MWh in , and unlikely to slip below 23 €/MWh or exceed 50 €/MWh in normal weather years. Our results show that regulated hydropower will have a substantially higher market value than the average power price (value factor of 1.3–1.4).
How much electricity does Norway produce in ?
In , Norway had an electricity production of 157 TWh, of which 91% was from hydropower, 8% from onshore wind, and <1% from thermal sources (NVE, 2021b). This shows that the Norwegian generation mix is already dominated by renewable energy. In normal weather years, Norway exports around 19 TWh of electricity to neighbouring countries.
Will Norwegian power prices remain moderate in the future?
The finding in this study suggests that Norwegian power prices are likely to remain moderate and that summer price will be relatively low in the future North European power market. Onshore wind is more likely to exceed its LCOE – its market value exceeded the mean LCOE in 50% of the simulations.
The quarterly electricity price statistics include information about average electricity prices for households, services and manufacturing in addition to the wholesale market.
Øre/kWh Breakdown of electricity sales by volume. Per cent MANUFACTURING EXCL. ENERGY-INTENSIVE MANUFACTURING 1 Average for all types of contracts, incl. new fixed-price contracts and variable price (not tied to spot price). Pulp and paper industry is included in energy-intensive manufacturing.
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Long term power prices and renewable energy market values in
The mean annual Norwegian power price from the Monte Carlo simulations is estimated to be 39 ± 4 €/MWh and long-term price levels below 23 €/MWh or above 50 €/MWh
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